Documentation

Download ESRM20 Technical Report

Please cite as:

Crowley, H., Dabbeek J., Despotaki V., Rodrigues D., Martins L., Silva V., Romão X., Pereira N., Weatherill G., Danciu L. (2021) European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20). EFEHR Technical Report 002 V1.0.0, https://doi.org/10.7414/EUC-EFEHR-TR002-ESRM20

The following list of publications have been provided to aid a better understanding of the components of ESRM20. Some of the manuscripts related to ESRM20 were published in the early stages of development, and so readers should refer to the technical report linked above for final decisions and assumptions related to the model.

Exposure

• Crowley H., Despotaki V., Rodrigues D., Silva V., Toma-Danila D., Riga E., Karatzetsou A., Sousa L., Ozcebe S., Zugic Z. and Gamba P. (2020) “Exposure model for European Seismic Risk Assessment,” Earthquake Spectra, https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293020919429
• Crowley H., Despotaki V., Silva V., Dabbeek J., Romão X., Pereira N., Castro J.M., Daniell J., Veliu E., Bilgin H., Adam C., Deyanova M., Ademović N., Atalic J., Riga E., Karatzetzou A., Bessason B., Shendova V., Tiganescu A., Toma-Danila D., Zugic Z., Akkar S., Hancilar U. (2021a) “Model of Seismic Design Lateral Force Levels for the Existing Reinforced Concrete European Building Stock”, Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01083-3
• Dabbeek J., Crowley H., Silva V., Weatherill G., Paul N., Nievas C. (2021) “Impact of exposure spatial resolution on seismic loss estimates in regional portfolios,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01194-x
• Yepes-Estrada C., Silva V., Rao A., Amo-Oduro D., Calderon A., Costa C., Dabbeek J., Despotaki V., Martins L., Acevedo A., Crowley H., Journeay M. [2020] “Development of a Global Exposure Model for Regional Seismic Risk Assessment,” Proceedings of 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Sendai, Japan
• Silva V., Brzev S., Scawthorn C., Yepes-Estrada C., Dabbeek J. and Crowley H. (2021) “A Building Classification System for Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment,” International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, under review.

Vulnerability

• Martins & Silva (2020) “Development of a fragility and vulnerability model for global seismic risk analyses,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-00885-1
• Martins L., Silva V., Crowley H. and Cavalieri F. (2021) “Vulnerability Modeller’s Toolkit, an Open-Source Platform for Vulnerability Analysis,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-458348/v1
• Crowley H. Silva V., Martins L., Romão X. and Pereira N. (2021) “Open models and software for assessing the vulnerability of the European building stock,” COMPDYN 2021, 8th ECCOMAS Thematic Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, Greece.
• Silva V. (2019) “Uncertainty and correlation in seismic vulnerability functions of building classes,” Earthquake Spectra, 35(4), pp. 1515-1539, https://doi.org/10.1193/013018EQS031M
• Martins L. and Silva V. (2020) “Development of a fragility and vulnerability model for global seismic risk analyses,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518- 020-00885-1
• Yepes-Estrada C., Silva V., Rossetto T., D’Ayala D., Ioannou I., Meslem A., and Crowley H. [2016] “The Global Earthquake Model Physical Vulnerability Database,” Earthquake Spectra, Vol. 32, No. 4, pp. 2567-2585, https://doi.org/10.1193/011816EQS015DP

Ground Motion and Site Response

• Weatherill G.A. and Cotton F (2020) “A ground motion logic tree for seismic hazard analysis in the stable cratonic region of Europe: regionalization, model selection and development of a scaled backbone approach,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 18, pp. 6119 – 6148, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-00940-x
• Weatherill G., Kotha S-R., Cotton F. (2020) “A regionally adaptable “scaled backbone” ground motion logic tree for shallow seismicity in Europe: application to the 2020 European seismic hazard model,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 18, pp. 5087 – 5117, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-00899-9
• Weatherill G., Kotha S-R., Cotton F. (2020) “Re-thinking site amplification in regional seismic risk assessment ,” Earthquake Spectra,  https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019899956
• Weatherill G.A., Crowley H., Roullé A., Toulière B., Lemoine A., Gracianne Hidalgo C., Kotha S.R., Cotton F. (2022) “Modelling Site Response at Regional Scale for the 2020 European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20),” journal TBD, in preparation

Earthquake Scenarios and Testing

• Riga E., Karatzetzou A., Apostolaki S., Crowley H., Pitilakis JK. [2021] “Verification of seismic risk models using observed damages from past earthquake events,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-01017-5
• Crowley H, Silva V, Kalakonas P, Martins L, Weatherill G, Pitilakis K, Riga E, Borzi B, Faravelli M [2020] “Verification of the European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20)”, Proceedings of 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Sendai, Japan. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4045883

OpenQuake-engine

• Silva V., Crowley H., Pagani M., Monelli D. and Pinho R. (2014) “Development of the OpenQuake engine, the Global Earthquake Model’s open-source software for seismic risk assessment,” Natural Hazards, 72(3), pp. 1409–1427, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0618-x.
• Pagani M., Monelli D., Weatherill G., Danciu L., Crowley H., Silva V., Henshaw P., Butler L., Nastasi M., Panzeri L., Simionato M. and Vigano D. (2014) “OpenQuake engine: An open hazard (and risk) software for the global earthquake model,” Seismological Research Letters, 85(3), pp. 692–702, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220130087
• GEM (2021) OpenQuake-engine User Manual for Engine version 3.12.1.  GEM Foundation, Available for download here.
  

Seismic Risk Modelling

• Crowley H., Silva V., Despotaki V., Martins L., Atalić J. (2019) “European Seismic Risk Model 2020: Focus on Croatia,” Proceedings of Scientific Symposium ‘Future Trends in Civil Engineering, Zagreb, Croatia, https://doi.org/10.5592/CO/FTCE.2019.03
• Crowley H., Rodrigues D., Silva V., Despotaki V., Marins L. Romão X., Castro J.M., Pereira N., Pomonis A., Lemoine A., Roullé A., Tourlière B., Weatherill G., Pitilakis K., Danciu L., Correira A.A. Akkar S., Hancilar U., Covi P. (2019) “The European Seismic Risk model 2020 (ESRM20)”, 2^nd International Conference on Natural Hazards and Infrastructure, ICONHIC 2019
• Silva, V., Amo-Oduro D., Calderon A., Costa C., Dabbeek J., Despotaki V., Martins L., Pagani M., Rao A., Simionato Mi., Viganò D., Yepes-Strada C., Acevedo A., Crowley H., Horspool N., Jaiswal K., Journeay M., Pittore M. [2020] “Development of a global seismic risk model,” Earthquake Spectra, https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019899953